• COMPLEX SPATIAL MODELLING POSSIBILITIES OF THE SOCIO-ECONOMIC CHANGES OF HUNGARY – POTENTIAL APPROACHES AND METHODS

    Mathematical Modeling, Vol. 2 (2018), Issue 4, pg(s) 160-162

    The paper overviews the possible methodological and practical approaches which can be used to create a custom-made toolset for the complex spatial modelling and forecasting of the socio-economic processes of Hungary for the 21th century. The author already participated in projects concerning land cover change and demographic modelling and gathered valuable experience in creating isolated models. In his three-year post-doctoral research programme, the author plans to take a more holistic approach with combining the elements of demography, economy and land use to create an integrated model with feedbacks between the consisting parts. The proposed methodology relies heavily on a scenario-based approach, creating a range of different forecasts from the business-as-usual ones to the highly improbable ones to explore the outer edges of future possibilities. Both local and global future assumptions will be considered during the formulation of the scenarios. An additional goal is to make the prepared modelling tool publicly available.

  • SCIENCE

    APPLYING PRODUCTION RELATED KNOWLEDGE WHEN ANALYZING HEALTHCARE PROBLEMS USING SIMULATION APPROACHES

    Science. Business. Society., Vol. 1 (2016), Issue 3, pg(s) 18-21

    The focus of this paper is the knowledge gained from the engineers when solving production related problems and how this can be utilized when solving issues in the healthcare. Based on this, a research has been made where engineers have conceptualized and developed a simulation model for one polyclinic using real data. The simulation model is a hybrid one using Discrete Event Simulation and Agent Based Modelling approaches. It is created applying the basic principles of the queuing theory that is unavoidable even in the simplest production systems. The model simulates the patient flow in the polyclinic. By using experiments and analysis, what is the ideal number of resources with whom the waiting time of the patient would be under a certain time limit is suggested. This research showed that the possibilities of the application of simulations in healthcare and the benefits of their use are endless.