Traffic synthetic model development and calibration in Anamorava region

  • 1 University of Prishtina“Hasan Prishtina”, Faculty of Mechanical Engineering, Prishtina, Kosovo
  • 2 University “St.Kliment Ohridski”, Faculty of Technical Sciences, Bitola, Macedonia


The main objective of this paper is to develop and calibrate traffic synthetic model for forecasting traffic demand in Anamorava region. The model on existing situation is developed based on “meta model” which uses PTV Visum software. In order to set up a model were taken into account input variables number of residents, number of people employed, working places available as well as the traffic volume entering and exiting this region at “peak hour”. With intention to have traffic volumes as an outcome expressed as AADT, correction coefficients are applied. Multiplying the traffic volumes with correction coefficient there is traffic demand gained for the period of 24 hours which is an indicator to be used for comparison of results. In order to get the reliable model for forecasting, calibration of it is done through TFlow Fuzzy algorithm technique based on GEH test, R2 and percentage deviation criterions. Once the level is completed satisfactory, the final model can be used to forecast the traffic demand for this region.



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